Rate cuts by year-end
- Fed: 43 bps (92% probability of rate cut at the upcoming meeting)
2025: 142 bps
- ECB: 30 bps (80% probability of 25 bps rate cut at the upcoming meeting)
2025: 140 bps
- BoE: 43 bps (87% probability of rate cut at the upcoming meeting)
2025: 138 bps
- BoC: 80 bps (91% probability of 50 bps rate cut at the upcoming meeting)
2025: 172 bps
- RBA: 6 bps (91% probability of no change at the upcoming meeting)
2025: 61 bps
- RBNZ: 53 bps (87% probability of 50 bps rate cut at the upcoming meeting)
2025: 213 bps
- SNB: 28 bps (88% probability of 25 bps rate cut at the upcoming meeting)
2025: 73 bps
Rate hikes by year-end
- BoJ: 8 bps (92% probability of no change at the upcoming meeting)
2025: 35 bps
*where you see 25 bps rate cut, the rest of the probability is for a 50 bps cut
This article was written by Giuseppe Dellamotta at www.forexlive.com.
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