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Home Markets

Wheat futures soar as conflict could risk 15M tons of Black Sea exports (NYSEARCA:WEAT)

by Trading How
February 23, 2022
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Wheat and other agricultural commodities surged on the Chicago Board of Commerce Tuesday as President Biden confirmed new sanctions in opposition to Russia late within the buying and selling session.

Russia is the world’s fourth largest producer of wheat, if the European Union is counted as a single producer, and a blockade of Ukraine might jeopardize massive quantities of exports from Black Sea ports.

Any disruption could lead to soaring prices for bread – particularly within the Center East, the place Turkey, Egypt and Lebanon depend on Russia and Ukraine for a lot of their wheat wants – at a time when inflation is already rippling by means of the worldwide economic system.

Wheat (W_1:COM) for Might supply ended +6% to $8.52 1/2 per bushel on the CBOT, whereas March corn (C_1:COM) closed +3.1% to $6.74 3/4 a bushel and March soybeans (S_1:COM) settled +2.1% to $16.35/bushel, which climbed as excessive as $16.46, the best since Might.

ETFs: WEAT, CORN, SOYB

“As a lot as 15M tons of wheat exports from the Black Sea area may very well be in danger,” Commerzbank analysts mentioned. “Such a big quantity might hardly be sourced elsewhere and would result in a major discount of shares within the different export nations.”

Corn futures had been aided by energy in crude oil costs, which rose in response to rising hostilities on the Russia-Ukraine border; the motion of oil costs impacts margins for ethanol producers, which in flip impacts the consumption of corn by refineries within the U.S.

In the meantime, soybean futures rose for a fourth straight session, as dry weather in South America continues to hurt production.



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