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Home Forex News

FOREX-Dollar set to end five-week win streak as risk sentiment rebounds

by Trading How
October 15, 2021
in Forex News
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FOREX-Dollar extends bounce as stimulus hopes stall short bets
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* Yen at lowest ranges since October 2018

* U.S. retail gross sales shock to the upside, fueling risk-on sentiment

* Bitcoin hits $60,000 as merchants eye first U.S. ETFs

* Graphic: World FX charges https://tmsnrt.rs/2RBWI5E (Provides analyst feedback, retail gross sales knowledge; updates costs; provides New York dateline.)

By John McCrank and Tommy Wilkes

NEW YORK/LONDON, Oct 15 (Reuters) – The greenback edged decrease in opposition to a basket of main currencies on Friday, on monitor to interrupt its five-week successful streak, as world danger urge for food rebounded, decreasing demand for the safe-haven foreign money.

World inventory markets have rallied this week as fears a couple of stagflationary economic system have been eased by forecast-beating company earnings in america.

Unexpectedly robust U.S. retail gross sales knowledge for September additionally boosted sentiment. Retail gross sales rose 0.7% final month, versus expectations of a 0.2% decline, helped partly by increased costs.

“The chance urge for food right here stays actually, actually robust in the meanwhile,” stated Boris Schlossberg, managing director of FX technique at BK Asset Administration.

“That is serving to the excessive beta currencies just like the pound, the euro and the Aussie, just because the market is feeling far more optimistic,” he stated.

The greenback index firmed after the retail gross sales knowledge, however then trended decrease and was down 0.19% for the week, after appreciating for the earlier 5 weeks. The greenback was final down 0.106% at 93.941, after having hit a one-year excessive of 94.563 on Tuesday.

Sterling rose 0.69% to $1.3765, its highest since Sept. 17, whereas the euro edged up 0.02% to $1.1601 after touching $1.1624 on Thursday for the primary time since Sept. 4.

The chance-sensitive Aussie greenback added 0.01% to $0.7416, having climbed to $0.7439 earlier within the session. New Zealand’s greenback jumped 0.42% to $0.7065, extending Thursday’s 1% surge.

The Japanese yen was the most important loser, dropping to as little as 114.46 yen per greenback, its weakest since October 2018. The yen is a safe-haven foreign money and has been knocked by the rebound in sentiment together with in Asia.

The greenback was final up 0.42% in opposition to the yen at 114.15 yen.

The dollar had rallied in opposition to its main friends since early September on expectations the U.S. central financial institution would tighten financial coverage extra shortly than beforehand anticipated amid an enhancing economic system and surging vitality costs.

Minutes of the Fed’s September assembly confirmed this week {that a} tapering of stimulus is all however sure to start out this 12 months, though policymakers are sharply divided over inflation and what they need to do about it.

Cash markets are presently pricing in about 50/50 odds of a 25 foundation level charge hike by July.

Analysts stated traders who had been lengthy {dollars} had been squeezed out of their positions previously few days, and inflation knowledge didn’t assist an additional rise within the foreign money.

“The shortage of any upside shock in U.S. CPI (shopper value inflation) knowledge and affirmation of current expectations on Fed tapering within the minutes supplied no catalyst for added USD shopping for and therefore the sell-off,” stated MUFG analyst Derek Halpenny.

In cryptocurrency markets, the worth of bitcoin topped $60,000 for the primary time in six months and was not removed from its document excessive on bets U.S. regulators will approve a bitcoin futures alternate traded fund.

(Reporting by John McCrank in New York and Tommy Wilkes in London; Modifying by Emelia Sithole-Matarise, Edmund Blair and Andrea Ricci)



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