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Home Forex News

FOREX-Dollar gains, euro falls as energy drives currency swings

by Trading How
July 6, 2022
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* Euro falls to under $1.02 for first time since 2002 * U.S. greenback index rises to new 20-year excessive * Swiss franc reaches a 7-year excessive vs euro * Yen strengthens after Japan’s inflation expectations rise * Graphic: World FX charges https://tmsnrt.rs/2RBWI5E (Provides recent costs, response to Fed minutes) By Herbert Lash July 6 (Reuters) – The greenback rose to recent 20-year highs on Wednesday and the euro tumbled to a brand new two-decade low as rising power costs forged an extended shadow over the euro zone’s economic system however bolstered the U.S. forex’s safe-haven enchantment. The greenback and euro had been little modified after the discharge of minutes from the Federal Reserve’s assembly in June, when the U.S. central financial institution hiked rates of interest by an outsized 75 foundation factors in an effort to corral inflation. Earlier, the greenback index, which tracks the buck towards six currencies, shot above 107 whereas the euro tumbled under $1.02, each ranges final seen in December 2002. The index is up 12% 12 months so far and is about for its greatest 12 months since 2014. The greenback has strengthened as power costs are excessive and the Federal Reserve has been elevating rates of interest extra rapidly than most different central banks, mentioned Shahab Jalinoos, international head of macro buying and selling technique at Credit score Suisse. “You’ve got conventional macro components which are driving greenback power proper now moderately than a risk-adverse transfer,” Jalinoos added. The US is a web power exporter, whereas Germany is operating a commerce deficit for the primary time since 1991, Jalinoos mentioned. “Excessive rates of interest within the U.S. and a commerce shift which is helpful to the U.S. provides to sustainability of the greenback’s power,” Jalinoos added. The greenback index rose 0.498% to 107.04, with the euro down 0.8% to $1.0184. The index hit a excessive of 107.27 and the euro slipped 1% to a low of $1.063 earlier. Goldman Sachs raised its pure gasoline worth forecasts, saying {that a} full restoration of Russian gasoline flows by means of Nordstream 1 was not the most probably situation. All oil and gasoline fields that had been affected by a strike in Norway’s petroleum sector are anticipated to be again in full operation inside a few days, Equinor mentioned on Wednesday. Analysts anticipate a fast resurgence in oil costs as provide tightness persists and as front-month spreads have held up regardless of Tuesday’s worth fall. “It’s not solely the specter of nondelivery (of gasoline) that’s weighing on the euro,” mentioned Moritz Paysen, foreign exchange and charges adviser at Berenberg. “The already-high power prices are a burden. Power prices in Europe are many instances greater than within the U.S.,” Paysen added. The divergence between central banks’ tightening cycles throughout the Atlantic remained in traders’ focus. The euro dropped to its lowest stage towards the Swiss franc for the reason that Swiss Nationwide Financial institution deserted its forex cap in 2015. The only forex fell 0.6% to a recent seven-year low at 0.9879. The yen gained slightly help from some security bids after Japanese households’ inflation expectations strengthened within the three months to June, with the ratio of houses anticipating worth rises over the approaching 12 months hitting the very best stage in 14 years. The Japanese yen weakened 0.03% to 135.92 per greenback. Financial institution of Japan has mentioned it could not withdraw financial stimulus as a result of inflation is because of hovering gas and uncooked materials prices blamed on Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and can seemingly show momentary. Bitcoin final rose 1.2% to $20,409.69. Foreign money bid costs at 2:45PM (1845 GMT) Description RIC Final U.S. Shut Pct Change YTD Pct Excessive Bid Low Bid Earlier Change Session Greenback index 107.0400 106.5300 +0.50% 11.893% +107.2700 +106.3400 Euro/Greenback $1.0183 $1.0265 -0.77% -10.41% +$1.0277 +$1.0162 Greenback/Yen 135.9450 135.8800 +0.04% +18.08% +135.9950 +134.9500 Euro/Yen 138.45 139.46 -0.72% +6.24% +139.5000 +137.2800 Greenback/Swiss 0.9711 0.9686 +0.39% +6.61% +0.9742 +0.9672 Sterling/Greenback $1.1927 $1.1959 -0.25% -11.79% +$1.1989 +$1.1877 Greenback/Canadian 1.3036 1.3029 +0.06% +3.11% +1.3078 +1.3013 Aussie/Greenback $0.6795 $0.6800 -0.06% -6.51% +$0.6826 +$0.6762 Euro/Swiss 0.9889 0.9940 -0.51% -4.63% +0.9949 +0.9876 Euro/Sterling 0.8536 0.8585 -0.57% +1.61% +0.8603 +0.8533 NZ $0.6155 $0.6174 -0.32% -10.08% +$0.6191 +$0.6132 Greenback/Greenback Greenback/Norway 10.1145 10.0630 +0.68% +15.00% +10.1670 +10.0220 Euro/Norway 10.3041 10.3275 -0.23% +2.91% +10.3770 +10.2644 Greenback/Sweden 10.5292 10.5030 -0.53% +16.76% +10.5763 +10.4678 Euro/Sweden 10.7232 10.7803 -0.53% +4.78% +10.7990 +10.7238 (Reporting by Herbert Lash in New York Further reporting by Stefano Rebaudo Enhancing by William Maclean, Will Dunham and Matthew Lewis)



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