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AP FACT CHECK: Biden’s shaky claims on jobs, gasoline

by Trading How
September 17, 2021
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WASHINGTON — Boasting that authorities insurance policies could make a distinction in enhancing the economic system, President Joe Biden went too far Thursday in taking credit score for job development since taking workplace.

He additionally made a doubtful suggestion that wrongdoing is behind increased gasoline costs — one thing that his administration will search to repair. However analysts say there may be little proof that’s the case.

A take a look at his claims and the info:

BIDEN: “After I was sworn in as president, the nation was struggling to drag out of the worst financial disaster because the Nice Melancholy. Job development was anemic, with simply over 60,000 new jobs monthly within the three months earlier than I used to be sworn in. Then we went to work. We handed the American Rescue Plan again in March. And it labored; it is nonetheless working. Over the past three months, we’ve created on common 750,000 new jobs monthly.”

THE FACTS: Biden is taking extra credit score for his plan than it deserves.

The strong hiring since his inauguration largely displays the reopening of the U.S. economic system after an enormous winter wave of coronavirus infections began to peak in January. Widespread vaccinations, which topped three million a day within the spring, performed a key position in enabling eating places, bars and leisure venues to reopen and begin hiring once more. Airplanes crammed up, as did inns.

Biden’s $1.9 trillion monetary rescue bundle, accepted by Congress in March, did play an necessary position. By offering a 3rd spherical of stimulus checks and lengthening an expanded unemployment advantages program by means of the primary week of September, Biden’s plan goosed spending and the economic system by placing more cash in People’ pockets.

However hiring slowed sharply i n August to a achieve of simply 235,000 jobs, because the delta variant drove case counts increased, underscoring the continued maintain that the virus has on the economic system.

___

BIDEN: “We’re additionally going after the unhealthy actors and pandemic profiteers in our economic system. There’s loads of proof gasoline costs ought to be taking place, however they have not. We’re taking a detailed take a look at that.”

THE FACTS: There really is little proof one thing nefarious is behind the upper gasoline costs, as Biden suggests.

Gasoline costs certainly normally fall after Labor Day, after the height summer time driving season. Whereas that hasn’t occurred but this yr, analysts say different elements in addition to malfeasance seem like in play. U.S. gasoline and oil costs, as an illustration, have been affected by a hurricane that quickly shut most oil manufacturing within the Gulf of Mexico, a number of huge refineries, and a significant gasoline pipeline to the East Coast.

The nationwide common worth for a gallon of gasoline is $3.19, in keeping with the auto membership AAA. That’s unchanged from a month in the past, although up a greenback from this time final yr.

Gasoline costs normally monitor oil costs, and the worth of benchmark U.S. crude is again near its early-July highs after falling in August.

Jeffery Born, an energy-markets professional at Northeastern College, mentioned present gasoline costs are partly a results of manufacturing and refining capability that was knocked offline by Hurricane Ida and different elements – even a scarcity of tanker drivers.

“In brief, I feel we’re having supply-chain issues,” Born mentioned. “I am positive Joe desires costs to come back down — you and I do, too. I might additionally wish to be 20 kilos lighter tomorrow.”

Phil Flynn, an vitality analyst on the Worth Futures Group and a critic of Biden’s vitality coverage, mentioned costs mirror demand that got here again stronger than anticipated from the pandemic and decrease U.S. oil manufacturing, compounded by occasions just like the hurricane.

“I am not seeing any profiteering or unhealthy actors,” Flynn mentioned.

Tom Kloza, chief analyst for the Oil Worth Info Service consulting agency, mentioned Hurricane Ida and lingering results on manufacturing and refining are inflicting summer-like costs to “linger for longer,” particularly east of the Rockies. He predicted that pump costs will quickly ease within the West, Southwest and Rocky Mountain states.

Power economist Philip Verleger mentioned gasoline costs are being propped up by U.S. impartial producers and OPEC members limiting their oil manufacturing, by the price of mixing ethanol into gasoline and by decrease gasoline inventories.

There already are some indicators retail gasoline costs have peaked, with the Power Info Administration reporting final week that gasoline costs are more likely to decline in coming months. It forecast that costs would common $3.14 a gallon in September earlier than falling to $2.91 within the final three months of the yr, as driving declines within the winter months and refining operations come again on-line after being broken by the hurricane.

Biden joins a wealthy custom of presidents w ho categorical frustration with excessive gasoline costs. In 2019, then-President Donald Trump tweeted at OPEC, the Saudi Arabia-led cartel of oil producers.

“Oil costs getting too excessive,” Trump tweeted. “OPEC, please loosen up and take it straightforward. World can’t take a worth hike – fragile!”

Biden tried that strategy himself final month, when he urged OPEC members to extend oil output simply as concern was rising that increased vitality costs may sluggish the U.S. economic system’s restoration from the COVID-19 pandemic.

“Manufacturing cuts made throughout the pandemic ought to be reversed as the worldwide economic system recovers with a view to decrease costs for shoppers,” Biden mentioned on the time.

___

Koenig reported from Dallas. Related Press author Hope Yen contributed to this report.

___

EDITOR’S NOTE — A take a look at the veracity of claims by political figures.

___

Discover AP Truth Checks at http://apnews.com/APFactCheck

Comply with @APFactCheck on Twitter: https://twitter.com/APFactCheck

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